Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hammarby IF v BK Hacken

Início: 2026-08-09 12:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 3–0 BK Hacken

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Previsão 61.40%1.63odd justa
EV -3.60%
Vantagem -2.30%
Kelly -6.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.53%61.46%61.39%63.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.501.501.5772.46%66.78%66.67%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

BK Hacken (Visitante)

Previsão 18.76%5.33odd justa
EV +12.55%
Vantagem +2.09%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.315%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.27%18.68%18.76%20.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.335.085.006.0023.09%19.70%20.00%16.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.84%5.04odd justa
EV -2.77%
Vantagem -0.565%
Kelly -0.709%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.10%19.86%19.85%21.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.564.504.9024.39%21.94%22.22%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hammarby IF (Local): 61.40%; BK Hacken (Visitante): 18.76%; Empate: 19.84%. Para BK Hacken (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.33. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.39%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +12.55%E +2.09%K +2.51%G +0.315%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-09 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +3.17%E +0.576%K +0.704%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV +3.17%E +0.576%K +0.704%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:24
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV +1.29%E +0.240%K +0.294%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.48%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.77%EV +0.919%E +0.171%K +0.210%G +0.002%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.75%EV -3.96%E -0.818%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 11:55
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.51%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.86%EV -0.207%E -0.039%K -0.048%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.64%EV -12.89%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.24%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -0.582%E -0.110%K -0.135%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.10%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.709%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:54
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -1.52%E -0.290%K -0.358%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.88%EV -10.97%E -7.57%K -24.38%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.25%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.87%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:25
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.04%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -2.46%E -0.473%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 11:25
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.01%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.47%EV -3.96%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.51%EV -8.52%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 05:55
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.29%EV -3.60%E -2.30%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.87%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.84%EV -3.76%E -0.775%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 09:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:10
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:35
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.36%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.59%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.67%E -3.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.68%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -4.33%E -0.850%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.90%EV -15.67%E -3.69%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-09 11:24
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -2.77%E -0.565%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -6.06%E -3.96%K -11.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -4.75%E -0.990%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 04:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 10:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -5.74%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 05:15
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 05:15
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.46%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.99%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -6.21%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.03%EV -9.13%E -6.17%K -19.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -12.69%E -2.88%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.77%EV -10.36%E -7.09%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.82%EV -9.71%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.80%EV -15.27%E -11.07%K -40.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.40%EV -8.09%E -1.65%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.80%EV -18.64%E -4.55%K -6.01%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.37%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -9.02%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:55
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.37%EV -4.83%E -3.12%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.29%EV -9.02%E -1.86%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.45%E -3.54%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:55
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:04
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:05
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.24%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -9.96%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:49
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.76%EV -6.67%E -4.39%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.12%EV -10.90%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -14.67%E -3.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.14%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.53%EV -10.90%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.33%EV -14.08%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.52%E -5.72%K -17.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -11.84%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.74%E -1.43%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -9.74%E -6.63%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -13.71%E -2.98%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -8.72%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:45
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.27%K -15.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -15.59%E -3.46%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -14.08%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-09 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.51%EV -11.59%E -8.05%K -26.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -18.78%E -4.34%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -10.70%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 11:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-08-09 11:55
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.43%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%0.4%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.22%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.73%0.7%2026-08-09 11:55
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.52%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.90%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.58%1.6%2026-08-09 11:55