Language:English
GAIS v Malmo FF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GAIS (Local)
Prediction 41.77%2.39fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.27%41.78%41.73%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.40%45.45%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Malmo FF (Visit)
Prediction 31.92%3.13fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.342%
Kelly -0.505%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.04%31.93%31.94%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.872.893.1038.17%34.81%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV +0.002%
Edge +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.29%26.33%27.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.523.543.8029.41%28.39%28.25%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 41.77%; Malmo FF (Visit): 31.92%; Draw: 26.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.7999. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.8000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.002%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -6.44%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 14:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.65%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.04%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -4.21%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.03%EV -9.78%E -4.53%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.29%EV -5.21%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.45%E -5.40%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.42%EV -5.19%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -6.49%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.27%EV -1.43%E -0.605%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.88%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.38%E -7.01%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -16.38%E -6.25%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-16 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -10.62%E -4.96%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.28%EV -11.04%E -5.18%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.40%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.33%EV -10.00%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 13:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-16 13:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.47% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.09% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45% | 2.2% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |