Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GAIS v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 14:31 UTC

Score final : GAIS 0–1 Malmo FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GAIS (Local)

Prévision 41.77%2.39cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.605%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.27%41.78%41.73%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.40%45.45%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.92%3.13cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.342%
Kelly -0.505%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.04%31.93%31.94%33.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.872.893.1038.17%34.81%34.60%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.32%3.80cote équitable
EV +0.002%
Avantage +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%26.29%26.33%27.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.523.543.8029.41%28.39%28.25%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : GAIS (Local) : 41.77% ; Malmo FF (Visiteur) : 31.92% ; Match nul : 26.32%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.7999. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.8000, soit une espérance positive de +0.002%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Coolbet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -6.44%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 14:09
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:14
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.65%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.04%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -4.21%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 14:29
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.03%EV -9.78%E -4.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.29%EV -5.21%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.45%E -5.40%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:40
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.42%EV -5.19%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -6.49%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:29
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.27%EV -1.43%E -0.605%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.88%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.38%E -7.01%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -16.38%E -6.25%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -10.62%E -4.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.28%EV -11.04%E -5.18%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.40%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.33%EV -10.00%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 02:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-16 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-08-16 13:55
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-16 14:25
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.47%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-08-16 14:30