Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GAIS v Malmo FF

Início: 2026-08-16 14:31 UTC

Final: GAIS 0–1 Malmo FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GAIS (Local)

Previsão 41.77%2.39odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.605%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.27%41.78%41.73%43.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.40%45.45%42.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Previsão 31.92%3.13odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.342%
Kelly -0.505%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.04%31.93%31.94%33.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.872.893.1038.17%34.81%34.60%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.32%3.80odd justa
EV +0.002%
Vantagem +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.73%26.29%26.33%27.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.523.543.8029.41%28.39%28.25%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: GAIS (Local): 41.77%; Malmo FF (Visitante): 31.92%; Empate: 26.32%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.7999. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.8000, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.002%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Coolbet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -6.44%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 14:09
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:14
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.65%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.04%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -4.21%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 14:29
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.03%EV -9.78%E -4.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.29%EV -5.21%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.45%E -5.40%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:40
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.42%EV -5.19%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -6.49%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:29
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.27%EV -1.43%E -0.605%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.88%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.38%E -7.01%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -16.38%E -6.25%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -10.62%E -4.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.28%EV -11.04%E -5.18%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.40%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.33%EV -10.00%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 02:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-16 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-08-16 13:55
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-16 14:25
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.47%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-08-16 14:30