StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

GAIS v Malmo FF

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 14:31 UTC

Slutresultat: GAIS 0–1 Malmo FF

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

GAIS (Hemma)

Prognos 41.77%2.39rättvist odds
EV -1.43%
Fördel -0.605%
Kelly -1.05%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.36

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.27%41.78%41.73%43.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.202.202.3648.78%45.40%45.45%42.37%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Malmo FF (Borta)

Prognos 31.92%3.13rättvist odds
EV -1.06%
Fördel -0.342%
Kelly -0.505%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.04%31.93%31.94%33.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.622.872.893.1038.17%34.81%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.32%3.80rättvist odds
EV +0.002%
Fördel +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.73%26.29%26.33%27.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.523.543.8029.41%28.39%28.25%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: GAIS (Hemma): 41.77%; Malmo FF (Borta): 31.92%; Oavgjort: 26.32%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.7999. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.8000, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.002%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.69%EV +0.002%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:29
Coolbet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.96%EV -6.44%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -1.06%E -0.342%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 14:09
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.63%E -0.711%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:14
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.65%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.04%EV -4.57%E -1.53%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.32%EV -4.21%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-16 14:29
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.03%EV -9.78%E -4.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.29%EV -5.21%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.68%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.10%EV -11.45%E -5.40%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.51%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:14
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -5.26%E -1.46%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:40
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -3.93%E -1.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -6.17%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 13:34
Bovada🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.42%EV -5.19%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -6.49%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:19
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:29
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -8.95%E -4.10%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.58%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:29
1xBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.27%EV -1.43%E -0.605%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.88%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -6.84%E -1.93%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.25%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 11:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:30
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.38%E -7.01%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -16.38%E -6.25%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -7.89%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -10.62%E -4.96%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -7.44%E -2.57%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.91%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -9.21%E -2.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.28%EV -11.04%E -5.18%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.38%EV -8.40%E -2.93%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.33%EV -10.00%E -2.92%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:04
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -4.77%E -2.09%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.80%E -2.33%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:19
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.02%E -2.68%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-16 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -10.20%E -4.74%K -8.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 02:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -8.11%E -3.69%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.83%E -5.12%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -12.29%E -5.85%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.52%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 14:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-16 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-08-16 13:55
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-16 14:25
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.47%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.45%2.2%2026-08-16 14:30