Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS v Hammarby IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 17:00 UTC

Final: GAIS 2–0 Hammarby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS (Local)

Prediction 30.53%3.28fair odd
EV +5.32%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.116%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%30.45%30.50%31.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.053.4535.71%32.63%32.79%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visit)

Prediction 41.36%2.42fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%41.49%41.46%44.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.182.202.3651.28%45.91%45.45%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.334%
Kelly +0.462%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%28.06%28.03%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.6034.72%30.48%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 30.53%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 41.36%; Draw: 28.11%. For GAIS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.28. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +0.745%E +0.226%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -12.32%E -5.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 16:30
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -1.70%E -0.527%K -0.764%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -10.25%E -4.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:20
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 16:40
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:30
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:30
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 16:30
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.51%EV -4.14%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.46%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.01%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 16:40
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.73%EV -2.39%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:19
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 16:20
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:10
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 16:30
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -5.97%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -7.79%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 16:40
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 16:40
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 16:40
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:20
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:20
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 16:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 16:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 16:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 16:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -19.35%E -9.92%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-20 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -11.90%E -5.59%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-20 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 16:40
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-20 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -11.45%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-20 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -17.28%E -8.64%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -19.04%E -6.61%K -10.13%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-20 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-20 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-20 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-05-20 16:50