Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GAIS v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 17:00 UTC

Score final : GAIS 2–0 Hammarby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GAIS (Local)

Prévision 30.53%3.28cote équitable
EV +5.32%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +2.17%
Croissance +0.116%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.35%30.45%30.50%31.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.063.053.4535.71%32.63%32.79%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.36%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%41.49%41.46%44.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.182.202.3651.28%45.91%45.45%42.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.11%3.56cote équitable
EV +1.20%
Avantage +0.334%
Kelly +0.462%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%28.06%28.03%29.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.6034.72%30.48%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : GAIS (Local) : 30.53% ; Hammarby IF (Visiteur) : 41.36% ; Match nul : 28.11%. Pour GAIS (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.28. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +5.32%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +0.745%E +0.226%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -12.32%E -5.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 16:30
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -1.70%E -0.527%K -0.764%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -10.25%E -4.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:20
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 16:40
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:30
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:30
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 16:30
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.51%EV -4.14%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.46%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.01%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 16:40
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.73%EV -2.39%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:19
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 16:20
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:10
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 16:30
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -5.97%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -7.79%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 16:40
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 16:40
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 16:40
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:20
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:20
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 16:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 16:10
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 16:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 16:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -19.35%E -9.92%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-20 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -11.90%E -5.59%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-20 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 16:40
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-20 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -11.45%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-20 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -17.28%E -8.64%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -19.04%E -6.61%K -10.13%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-20 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-20 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-20 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-05-20 16:50