La escuela de los momiosEspañol
GAIS v Hammarby IF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
GAIS (Local)
Predicción 30.53%3.28momio equitativo
EV +5.32%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +2.17%
Crecimiento +0.116%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.35%30.45%30.50%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.063.053.4535.71%32.63%32.79%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hammarby IF (Visitante)
Predicción 41.36%2.42momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%41.49%41.46%44.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.182.202.3651.28%45.91%45.45%42.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.11%3.56momio equitativo
EV +1.20%
Ventaja +0.334%
Kelly +0.462%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%28.06%28.03%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.6034.72%30.48%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +0.745%E +0.226%K +0.324%G +0.002% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -12.32%E -5.81%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| GTbets | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -1.70%E -0.527%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -10.25%E -4.72%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.51%EV -4.14%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.46%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.01%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.73%EV -2.39%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-20 16:19 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 16:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -5.97%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -7.79%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| BetAnything | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -19.35%E -9.92%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-05-20 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-20 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -11.90%E -5.59%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-20 16:40 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -11.45%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-20 16:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -17.28%E -8.64%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -19.04%E -6.61%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |