A Escola das Odds

GAIS v Hammarby IF

Início: 2026-05-20 17:00 UTC

Final: GAIS 2–0 Hammarby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

GAIS (Local)

Previsão 30.53%3.28odd justa
EV +5.32%
Vantagem +1.54%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescimento +0.116%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.35%30.45%30.50%31.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.063.053.4535.71%32.63%32.79%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hammarby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 41.36%2.42odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.51%41.49%41.46%44.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.182.202.3651.28%45.91%45.45%42.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.11%3.56odd justa
EV +1.20%
Vantagem +0.334%
Kelly +0.462%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.92%28.06%28.03%29.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.283.303.6034.72%30.48%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.36%EV +5.32%E +1.54%K +2.17%G +0.116%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.47%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.18%EV +1.20%E +0.334%K +0.462%G +0.006%2.2%2026-05-20 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV +0.745%E +0.226%K +0.324%G +0.002%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -12.32%E -5.81%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 16:30
GTbets3.22I 31.06%NM 29.15%EV -1.70%E -0.527%K -0.764%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.25%EV -10.25%E -4.72%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:20
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -2.31%E -0.721%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 16:30
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 16:40
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 16:40
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:30
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.71%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 16:30
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -3.83%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.83%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 16:30
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.51%EV -4.14%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.47%EV -4.46%E -1.93%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.01%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 16:40
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.73%EV -2.39%E -1.01%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-20 16:30
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:19
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 16:20
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 16:39
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:10
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:10
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 16:30
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -5.36%E -1.73%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.80%EV -16.45%E -8.15%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 16:30
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -5.97%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.54%EV -7.79%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 16:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 16:40
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -6.89%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -6.11%E -2.69%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 16:40
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:20
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 16:20
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 16:20
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.94%E -3.09%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 16:40
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 16:10
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 16:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 16:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 16:20
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -8.41%E -2.80%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -19.35%E -9.92%K -20.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-20 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.23%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 16:10
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -9.94%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.88%EV -11.90%E -5.59%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-20 16:40
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 16:40
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.01%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 16:20
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-20 16:20
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -11.47%E -3.95%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -11.45%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-20 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -12.08%E -4.19%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -17.28%E -8.64%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -19.04%E -6.61%K -10.13%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-20 16:20
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.08%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.85%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-20 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -14.52%E -5.19%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -13.15%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.04%E -3.14%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 16:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-05-20 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-05-20 16:50
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-05-20 16:50