Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 10.50
assuming max odds 1.36
assuming max odds 5.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Degerfors IF (Local): 11.54%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 70.55%; Draw: 17.91%. For Degerfors IF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.66. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031% | 2.5% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.68%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.19%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -10.40%E -8.19%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.94%EV -10.40%E -8.19%K -38.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.61I 11.61%NM 11.07%EV -0.617%E -0.072%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.73%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 14:22 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.67%EV -11.11%E -8.82%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.83%EV -11.81%E -9.45%K -47.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.74%EV -12.52%E -10.10%K -52.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.74%EV -12.52%E -10.10%K -52.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.36%EV -3.04%E -0.362%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.67%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.25%EV -4.19%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.37%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +2.07%E +0.363%K +0.441%G +0.009% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -4.77%E -0.578%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 14:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.20%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -7.78%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 14:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -12.25%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.81%E -9.45%K -47.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.73I 12.94%NM 12.25%EV -10.77%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.05%E -2.98%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.52%EV -12.39%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.41%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 5.57I 17.95%NM 17.07%EV -0.256%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 19:21 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -14.94%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.20%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.04%EV -11.36%E -2.29%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -19.20%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 69.58%EV -11.11%E -8.82%K -42.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -12.25%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -22.09%E -3.27%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -24.97%E -3.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.15%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.52% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.46% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |