Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF v Hammarby IF

2026-09-20 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prediction 10.48%9.54fair odd
EV +15.32%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.235%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.81%10.48%10.48%11.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.319.0011.0013.79%10.74%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visit)

Prediction 72.56%1.38fair odd
EV -6.40%
Edge -4.96%
Kelly -22.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.72%72.56%72.56%75.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.251.2982.64%80.42%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.96%5.90fair odd
EV +5.98%
Edge +0.956%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.50%16.96%16.96%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.605.676.2521.05%17.85%17.62%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Degerfors IF (Local): 10.48%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 72.56%; Draw: 16.96%. For Degerfors IF (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.54. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.00, producing a positive expected value of +15.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.81%EV +15.32%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.69%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV +5.98%E +0.956%K +1.14%G +0.068%3.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.81%EV +15.32%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.69%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV +5.98%E +0.956%K +1.14%G +0.068%3.2%2026-09-13 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.81%EV +15.32%E +1.39%K +1.53%G +0.235%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.69%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.50%EV +5.98%E +0.956%K +1.14%G +0.068%3.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +4.83%E +0.483%K +0.537%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -1.65%E -0.285%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +4.83%E +0.483%K +0.537%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -1.65%E -0.285%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +4.83%E +0.483%K +0.537%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -1.65%E -0.285%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +4.83%E +0.483%K +0.537%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -1.65%E -0.285%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +4.83%E +0.483%K +0.537%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -1.65%E -0.285%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:36
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +4.83%E +0.483%K +0.537%G +0.026%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -9.30%E -7.44%K -37.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -1.65%E -0.285%K -0.345%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:35
LeoVegas🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -5.65%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -6.40%E -4.96%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -2.50%E -0.435%K -0.527%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 14:40
BetRivers🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -5.65%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 73.51%EV -10.75%E -8.74%K -46.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:35
TABtouch🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -5.65%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -11.48%E -9.41%K -52.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -6.74%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 14:36
PMU (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -5.65%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -12.20%E -10.08%K -58.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -5.65%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -12.20%E -10.08%K -58.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 14:36
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -5.65%E -0.628%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -12.20%E -10.08%K -58.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.49%EV -8.44%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 14:36
1xBet🎯8.90I 11.24%NM 10.48%EV -6.70%E -0.752%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.87%EV -7.12%E -5.56%K -25.44%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -5.05%E -0.901%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 15:25
Betclic (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -16.13%E -2.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -11.48%E -9.41%K -52.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-13 14:38
Unibet (FR)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 11.26%EV -20.33%E -2.67%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 70.72%EV -12.20%E -10.08%K -58.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.02%EV -19.46%E -4.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-13 14:36
Winamax (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -21.37%E -2.85%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.40%EV -10.75%E -8.74%K -46.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.89%EV -11.83%E -2.27%K -2.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 11.92%EV -23.99%E -3.31%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.81%EV -11.48%E -9.41%K -52.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -15.22%E -3.04%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-13 14:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets8.00I 12.50%NM 10.98%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%13.8%2026-09-13 14:41