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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Degerfors IF v Hammarby IF

Início: 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 0–1 Hammarby IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Previsão 11.54%8.66odd justa
EV +21.20%
Vantagem +2.02%
Kelly +2.23%
Crescimento +0.473%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.29%11.57%11.55%13.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.508.288.0010.5015.38%12.08%12.50%9.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hammarby IF (Visitante)

Previsão 70.55%1.42odd justa
EV -4.05%
Vantagem -2.98%
Kelly -11.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.76%70.59%70.47%73.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.311.301.3680.65%76.60%76.92%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.91%5.58odd justa
EV +5.30%
Vantagem +0.901%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.057%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.20%17.84%17.98%19.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.185.205.8821.05%19.32%19.23%17.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Degerfors IF (Local): 11.54%; Hammarby IF (Visitante): 70.55%; Empate: 17.91%. Para Degerfors IF (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.66. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +21.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031%2.5%2026-09-20 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031%2.5%2026-09-20 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031%2.5%2026-09-20 13:59
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 13:59
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.68%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.19%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -10.40%E -8.19%K -38.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.94%EV -10.40%E -8.19%K -38.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:00
Betsson🎯8.61I 11.61%NM 11.07%EV -0.617%E -0.072%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.73%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%5.0%2026-09-20 14:10
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:09
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:09
betano_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:22
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.67%EV -11.11%E -8.82%K -42.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:59
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.83%EV -11.81%E -9.45%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.74%EV -12.52%E -10.10%K -52.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.74%EV -12.52%E -10.10%K -52.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 14:00
Pinnacle🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.36%EV -3.04%E -0.362%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.67%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 14:19
NordicBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.25%EV -4.19%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.37%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +2.07%E +0.363%K +0.441%G +0.009%7.1%2026-09-20 14:09
SportsBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -4.77%E -0.578%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:19
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:04
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:03
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:04
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.20%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -7.78%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:08
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -12.25%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.81%E -9.45%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetUS🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetAnything🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
GTbets🎯7.73I 12.94%NM 12.25%EV -10.77%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.05%E -2.98%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:29
1xBet🎯7.59I 13.18%NM 12.52%EV -12.39%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.41%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.07%EV -0.256%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:05
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:10
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:09
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:09
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 19:21
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -14.94%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.20%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.04%EV -11.36%E -2.29%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -19.20%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.58%EV -11.11%E -8.82%K -42.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -12.25%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -22.09%E -3.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -24.97%E -3.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.15%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.52%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%0.7%2026-09-20 14:19
Matchbook◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.46%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%0.7%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-09-20 14:14