L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Degerfors IF v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Score final : Degerfors IF 0–1 Hammarby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prévision 11.54%8.66cote équitable
EV +21.20%
Avantage +2.02%
Kelly +2.23%
Croissance +0.473%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.29%11.57%11.55%13.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.508.288.0010.5015.38%12.08%12.50%9.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.55%1.42cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -11.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.76%70.59%70.47%73.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.311.301.3680.65%76.60%76.92%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.91%5.58cote équitable
EV +5.30%
Avantage +0.901%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 5.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.20%17.84%17.98%19.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.185.205.8821.05%19.32%19.23%17.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Degerfors IF (Local) : 11.54% ; Hammarby IF (Visiteur) : 70.55% ; Match nul : 17.91%. Pour Degerfors IF (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.66. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 10.50, soit une espérance positive de +21.20%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031%2.5%2026-09-20 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031%2.5%2026-09-20 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%EV +21.20%E +2.02%K +2.23%G +0.473%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.89%EV -6.87%E -5.21%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.82%EV +3.86%E +0.666%K +0.805%G +0.031%2.5%2026-09-20 13:59
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Casumo🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 13:59
Grosvenor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
betPARX🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV +9.66%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.110%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -3.30%E -0.611%K -0.750%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.68%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.19%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -10.40%E -8.19%K -38.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.15%EV +3.89%E +0.432%K +0.486%G +0.019%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.94%EV -10.40%E -8.19%K -38.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:00
Betsson🎯8.61I 11.61%NM 11.07%EV -0.617%E -0.072%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.73%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.20%EV +5.30%E +0.901%K +1.09%G +0.057%5.0%2026-09-20 14:10
betfred_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:09
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:09
betano_uk🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 14:22
BetRivers🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 71.67%EV -11.11%E -8.82%K -42.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:59
TABtouch🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.83%EV -11.81%E -9.45%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.61%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.74%EV -12.52%E -10.10%K -52.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -1.89%E -0.222%K -0.252%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.74%EV -12.52%E -10.10%K -52.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 14:00
Pinnacle🎯8.40I 11.90%NM 11.36%EV -3.04%E -0.362%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.67%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.97%EV -4.91%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-20 14:19
NordicBet🎯8.30I 12.05%NM 11.25%EV -4.19%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.37%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.38%EV +2.07%E +0.363%K +0.441%G +0.009%7.1%2026-09-20 14:09
SportsBet🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -4.77%E -0.578%K -0.658%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.96%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.95%EV -8.67%E -1.70%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:19
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:04
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 14:03
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:04
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.20%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.13%EV -7.78%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 14:08
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 14:24
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.29%E -6.37%K -27.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Betr (AU)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.36%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -12.25%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -7.66%E -0.957%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.81%E -9.45%K -47.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetOnline.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetUS🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
BetAnything🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.02%EV -9.97%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -5.46%E -4.08%K -16.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 14:09
GTbets🎯7.73I 12.94%NM 12.25%EV -10.77%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.05%E -2.98%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.11%EV -6.34%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 14:29
1xBet🎯7.59I 13.18%NM 12.52%EV -12.39%E -1.63%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.41%EV -4.76%E -3.52%K -13.59%G +0.000%5.57I 17.95%NM 17.07%EV -0.256%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:05
Coral🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:10
Neds🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.17%E -4.64%K -18.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.04%E -2.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 14:09
PlayUp🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -9.70%E -7.58%K -34.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -5.99%E -1.14%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 14:09
BoyleSports🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -10.46%E -2.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-14 19:21
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.43%E -1.79%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -14.94%E -3.15%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 14:19
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -19.20%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.04%EV -11.36%E -2.29%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -19.20%E -2.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.58%EV -11.11%E -8.82%K -42.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.89%EV -12.25%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-20 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -22.09%E -3.27%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -7.58%E -5.79%K -24.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -5.09%E -0.961%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -24.97%E -3.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -8.99%E -6.97%K -31.00%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.15%EV -6.88%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.52%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.13%0.7%2026-09-20 14:19
Matchbook◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.13%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.46%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.41%0.7%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-09-20 14:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.60I 10.42%NM 10.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.08%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.63%1.3%2026-09-20 14:14