Language:English
BK Hacken v IK Sirius
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
BK Hacken (Local)
Prediction 37.46%2.67fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.62%37.60%37.41%40.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.5645.45%41.76%41.67%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Sirius (Visit)
Prediction 35.61%2.81fair odd
EV +0.074%
Edge +0.026%
Kelly +0.041%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.55%35.59%35.69%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.8141.67%38.40%38.46%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +0.951%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.23%26.80%26.91%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.463.453.8533.33%28.94%28.99%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 37.46%; IK Sirius (Visit): 35.61%; Draw: 26.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.60%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.90%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.21%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.55%EV +0.074%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 22:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.05%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 20:53 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.40%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -19.22%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.60% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62% | 165.2% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62% | 165.2% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62% | 165.2% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |