A Escola das Odds

BK Hacken v IK Sirius

Início: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Previsão 37.46%2.67odd justa
EV -4.10%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -2.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.62%37.60%37.41%40.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.392.402.5645.45%41.76%41.67%39.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IK Sirius (Visitante)

Previsão 35.61%2.81odd justa
EV +0.074%
Vantagem +0.026%
Kelly +0.041%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.55%35.59%35.69%36.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.602.602.8141.67%38.40%38.46%35.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.93%3.71odd justa
EV +3.66%
Vantagem +0.951%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.047%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.23%26.80%26.91%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.463.453.8533.33%28.94%28.99%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047%2.5%2026-04-22 20:09
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047%2.5%2026-04-22 20:10
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-22 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-22 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:09
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:09
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:09
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 20:09
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 20:09
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 20:09
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:18
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:15
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 20:09
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 20:09
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:15
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:14
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:19
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:20
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.60%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.90%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.21%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:50
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.55%EV +0.074%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 00:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:37
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:55
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 20:09
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.05%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:45
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:09
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:10
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:05
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:04
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:34
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 21:39
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 20:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 20:14
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 20:53
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.40%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -19.22%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-23 20:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 37.60%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%13.7%2026-04-23 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62%165.2%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62%165.2%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62%165.2%2026-04-22 15:10