La escuela de los momiosBK Hacken v IK Sirius
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
BK Hacken (Local)
Predicción 37.46%2.67momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.62%37.60%37.41%40.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.5645.45%41.76%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IK Sirius (Visitante)
Predicción 35.61%2.81momio equitativo
EV +0.074%
Ventaja +0.026%
Kelly +0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.55%35.59%35.69%36.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.8141.67%38.40%38.46%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.93%3.71momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +0.951%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.047%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.23%26.80%26.91%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.453.8533.33%28.94%28.99%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047% | 2.5% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.60%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.90%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.21%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| GTbets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.55%EV +0.074%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 00:10 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 22:37 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 20:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.05%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 21:39 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 20:53 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.40%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-04-23 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -19.22%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 37.60% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62% | 165.2% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62% | 165.2% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62% | 165.2% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |