L’École des cotes

BK Hacken v IK Sirius

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Prévision 37.46%2.67cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.62%37.60%37.41%40.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.402.5645.45%41.76%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Sirius (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.61%2.81cote équitable
EV +0.074%
Avantage +0.026%
Kelly +0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.55%35.59%35.69%36.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.602.8141.67%38.40%38.46%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.93%3.71cote équitable
EV +3.66%
Avantage +0.951%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.23%26.80%26.91%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.463.453.8533.33%28.94%28.99%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047%2.5%2026-04-22 20:09
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.82%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%EV -0.282%E -0.101%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.34%EV +3.66%E +0.951%K +1.29%G +0.047%2.5%2026-04-22 20:10
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-22 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 40.00%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -2.06%E -0.750%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +0.970%E +0.259%K +0.353%G +0.003%5.0%2026-04-22 20:10
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:09
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:10
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:09
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -12.72%E -5.46%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 20:09
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 20:09
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.42%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 20:09
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -1.72%E -0.472%K -0.650%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 20:09
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:18
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:15
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 20:09
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.00%EV -14.59%E -6.40%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.67%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.07%E -0.852%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 20:09
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:15
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:15
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:35
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 20:14
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:19
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 20:20
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 36.88%EV -4.10%E -1.60%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.90%EV -6.34%E -2.41%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.21%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:50
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.55%EV +0.074%E +0.026%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.17%EV -6.57%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 00:10
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.88%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 22:37
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -5.62%E -2.12%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 20:55
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.99%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.50%EV -7.11%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 20:09
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.05%E -2.70%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:45
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:09
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 36.81%EV -4.85%E -1.91%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-24 03:10
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:05
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -5.60%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -6.69%E -2.55%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:04
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 20:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.09%E -4.21%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 20:05
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -9.80%E -2.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:49
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.15%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 20:34
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -6.35%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.40%E -2.85%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 20:34
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -8.22%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.19%E -3.60%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 21:39
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.71%EV -10.84%E -4.56%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.41%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 20:05
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 20:14
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.42%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 20:53
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -10.97%E -4.39%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 20:49
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.40%EV -17.59%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -13.84%E -4.32%K -6.29%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-23 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -13.84%E -6.02%K -10.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.53%E -6.05%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -19.22%E -6.41%K -9.61%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-23 20:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 37.60%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%13.7%2026-04-23 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62%165.2%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62%165.2%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.69%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.62%165.2%2026-04-22 15:10