Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK v Örgryte IS

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC

Final: AIK 0–3 Örgryte IS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 60.78%1.65fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.92%
Kelly -8.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.90%60.69%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.98%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örgryte IS (Visit)

Prediction 17.44%5.73fair odd
EV +17.75%
Edge +2.63%
Kelly +3.09%
Growth +0.548%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.44%17.28%17.55%18.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.435.256.7520.83%18.43%19.05%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV +0.175%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.59%21.82%21.76%23.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.174.204.6027.03%23.98%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 60.78%; Örgryte IS (Visit): 17.44%; Draw: 21.78%. For Örgryte IS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.73. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.74%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:00
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.48%EV -11.87%E -8.19%K -26.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -19.42%E -5.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-02 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.64%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.59%EV -5.28%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.175%E +0.038%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -5.80%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:07
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.45%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.12%EV -8.94%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.25%EV -3.09%E -0.695%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.88%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.74%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.88%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -11.56%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -0.696%E -0.153%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:20
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.53%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20

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