The School of Odds

AIK v Örgryte IS

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

AIK (Local)

Prediction 65.80%1.52fair odd
EV -5.90%
Edge -4.13%
Kelly -13.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.20%66.13%65.73%67.45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4376.92%72.63%72.46%69.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Örgryte IS (Visit)

Prediction 13.91%7.19fair odd
EV +5.72%
Edge +0.752%
Kelly +0.866%
Growth +0.050%

assuming max odds 7.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.35%13.67%13.95%15.61%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.506.656.507.6018.18%15.04%15.38%13.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 20.29%4.93fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.285%
Kelly +0.356%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.45%20.20%20.32%21.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.104.554.505.0024.39%21.99%22.22%20.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.08%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.35%EV +5.72%E +0.752%K +0.866%G +0.050%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -11.76%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 19:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.08%EV -6.56%E -4.62%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.35%EV +5.72%E +0.752%K +0.866%G +0.050%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -11.76%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV +4.33%E +0.577%K +0.665%G +0.029%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.603%E -0.123%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 14:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV +4.33%E +0.577%K +0.665%G +0.029%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.603%E -0.123%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 14:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -5.90%E -4.13%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV +4.33%E +0.577%K +0.665%G +0.029%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.603%E -0.123%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 14:40
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.96%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.88%EV +1.27%E +0.174%K +0.201%G +0.003%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.16%EV -5.67%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.63%E -0.376%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -4.66%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 14:40
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.63%E -0.376%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -4.66%E -0.991%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 14:40
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -5.41%E -0.796%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.63%E -0.548%K -0.692%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:40
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.11%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:41
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.11%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:40
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.11%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:40
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.11%E -0.905%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:40
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.85%E -7.19%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -9.58%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV +1.43%E +0.285%K +0.356%G +0.005%8.4%2026-07-26 15:49
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.87%E -5.62%K -19.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.58%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.69%E -1.45%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 15:45
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.58%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -3.65%E -0.768%K -0.972%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:45
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -10.51%E -7.72%K -29.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.58%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.603%E -0.123%K -0.155%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 15:45
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -9.19%E -6.66%K -24.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.58%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -8.72%E -1.94%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:35
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -12.48%E -9.38%K -37.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.58%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -3.65%E -0.768%K -0.972%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 16:00
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.51%E -7.72%K -29.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.58%E -1.47%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 14:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -10.51%E -7.72%K -29.18%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -10.98%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -11.16%E -8.27%K -31.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -10.98%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.40%EV -11.76%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -11.16%E -8.27%K -31.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -10.98%E -1.71%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.40%EV -11.76%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -11.82%E -8.82%K -34.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -13.06%E -2.09%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -12.77%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.46%EV -11.82%E -8.82%K -34.77%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.15%EV -13.76%E -2.22%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.77%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 14:40
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.68%EV -14.45%E -11.12%K -48.18%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.00%EV -15.15%E -2.48%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -14.80%E -3.52%K -4.63%G +0.000%17.1%2026-07-26 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.12%EV -11.82%E -8.82%K -34.77%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.05%EV -19.32%E -3.33%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -10.75%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 14:41
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 64.56%EV -12.48%E -9.38%K -37.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.61%EV -23.49%E -4.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.83%EV -12.17%E -2.81%K -3.65%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.20%EV -13.80%E -10.53%K -44.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.29%EV -23.49%E -4.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.51%EV -16.83%E -4.11%K -5.43%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%14.0%2026-07-26 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 16:00