默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AIK v Örgryte IS

开赛时间: 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC

最终结果: AIK 0–3 Örgryte IS

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AIK (主队)

预测 60.78%1.65公平赔率
EV -4.58%
优势 -2.92%
Kelly -8.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
58.44%60.90%60.69%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.98%65.36%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Örgryte IS (客队)

预测 17.44%5.73公平赔率
EV +17.75%
优势 +2.63%
Kelly +3.09%
增长率 +0.548%

假设最高赔率为 6.75

博彩公司预测分布
14.44%17.28%17.55%18.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.435.256.7520.83%18.43%19.05%14.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.78%4.59公平赔率
EV +0.175%
优势 +0.038%
Kelly +0.049%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.59%21.82%21.76%23.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.174.204.6027.03%23.98%23.81%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AIK (主队):60.78%;Örgryte IS (客队):17.44%;平局:21.78%。 对于“Örgryte IS (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.73。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.75,对应+17.75%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.74%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:00
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.48%EV -11.87%E -8.19%K -26.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -19.42%E -5.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-02 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.64%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.59%EV -5.28%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.175%E +0.038%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -5.80%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:07
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.45%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.12%EV -8.94%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.25%EV -3.09%E -0.695%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.88%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.74%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.88%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -11.56%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -0.696%E -0.153%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:20
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.53%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20