Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AIK v Örgryte IS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC

Score final : AIK 0–3 Örgryte IS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AIK (Local)

Prévision 60.78%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.58%
Avantage -2.92%
Kelly -8.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%60.90%60.69%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.98%65.36%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Örgryte IS (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.44%5.73cote équitable
EV +17.75%
Avantage +2.63%
Kelly +3.09%
Croissance +0.548%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.44%17.28%17.55%18.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.435.256.7520.83%18.43%19.05%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.78%4.59cote équitable
EV +0.175%
Avantage +0.038%
Kelly +0.049%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.59%21.82%21.76%23.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.174.204.6027.03%23.98%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AIK (Local) : 60.78% ; Örgryte IS (Visiteur) : 17.44% ; Match nul : 21.78%. Pour Örgryte IS (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.73. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.75, soit une espérance positive de +17.75%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.74%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:00
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.48%EV -11.87%E -8.19%K -26.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -19.42%E -5.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-02 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.64%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.59%EV -5.28%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.175%E +0.038%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -5.80%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:07
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.45%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.12%EV -8.94%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.25%EV -3.09%E -0.695%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.88%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.74%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.88%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -11.56%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -0.696%E -0.153%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:20
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.53%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20