L’École des cotes

AIK v Örgryte IS

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (5 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AIK (Local)

Prévision 65.86%1.52cote équitable
EV -5.82%
Avantage -4.07%
Kelly -13.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.20%66.20%65.73%67.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.381.381.4376.92%72.66%72.46%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örgryte IS (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.90%7.20cote équitable
EV +4.22%
Avantage +0.563%
Kelly +0.649%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.86%13.84%13.95%15.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.616.507.5018.18%15.12%15.38%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.25%4.94cote équitable
EV +1.23%
Avantage +0.246%
Kelly +0.308%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.45%19.96%20.32%20.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.564.505.0024.39%21.91%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV +4.22%E +0.563%K +0.649%G +0.027%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.793%E -0.162%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 14:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV +4.22%E +0.563%K +0.649%G +0.027%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.793%E -0.162%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 14:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.45%EV -5.82%E -4.07%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.86%EV +4.22%E +0.563%K +0.649%G +0.027%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.69%EV -0.793%E -0.162%K -0.203%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-26 14:40
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.96%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.88%EV +1.16%E +0.160%K +0.185%G +0.002%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.16%EV -5.86%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 16:05
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.44%EV -7.14%E -5.06%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV -1.34%E -0.188%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 20:20
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.44%EV -7.14%E -5.06%K -17.42%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV -1.34%E -0.188%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.73%E -0.390%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -4.84%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 14:40
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -2.73%E -0.390%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -4.84%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 14:40
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.78%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.75%EV -5.51%E -0.810%K -0.949%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -2.82%E -0.587%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 15:40
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.20%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.89%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:41
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.20%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.89%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:40
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.20%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.89%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:40
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -6.20%E -0.919%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.89%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 14:40
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.77%E -7.13%K -26.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -9.68%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV +1.23%E +0.246%K +0.308%G +0.004%8.4%2026-07-26 15:49
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.80%E -5.57%K -19.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.68%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -6.87%E -1.49%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 15:45
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -9.68%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -3.83%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 15:45
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -10.43%E -7.67%K -28.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -9.68%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.793%E -0.162%K -0.203%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 15:45
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -9.12%E -6.61%K -23.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -9.68%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -8.89%E -1.98%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 16:35
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -12.41%E -9.33%K -37.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.68%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -3.83%E -0.806%K -1.02%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 16:00
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 65.86%EV -10.43%E -7.67%K -28.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -9.68%E -1.49%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-26 14:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 65.72%EV -10.43%E -7.67%K -28.98%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -11.07%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -11.09%E -8.22%K -31.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -11.07%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.40%EV -11.93%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 65.73%EV -11.09%E -8.22%K -31.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.87%EV -11.07%E -1.73%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.40%EV -11.93%E -2.74%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.53%EV -11.75%E -8.77%K -34.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -13.15%E -2.10%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -12.94%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.46%EV -11.75%E -8.77%K -34.56%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.15%EV -13.84%E -2.23%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -12.94%E -3.01%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 14:40
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 65.68%EV -14.38%E -11.07%K -47.95%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.00%EV -15.23%E -2.50%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -14.97%E -3.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%17.1%2026-07-26 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.12%EV -11.75%E -8.77%K -34.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.05%EV -19.40%E -3.35%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -10.92%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 14:41
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 64.56%EV -12.41%E -9.33%K -37.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.61%EV -23.57%E -4.29%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.83%EV -12.33%E -2.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 64.20%EV -13.73%E -10.48%K -44.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.29%EV -23.57%E -4.29%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.51%EV -16.99%E -4.14%K -5.48%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-26 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 64.98%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%14.0%2026-07-26 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 16:00