Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AIK v Örgryte IS

Начало: 2026-08-02 14:30 UTC

Итог: AIK 0–3 Örgryte IS

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AIK (Хозяева)

Прогноз 60.78%1.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.58%
Преимущество -2.92%
Kelly -8.03%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.44%60.90%60.69%62.89%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.521.531.5771.43%65.98%65.36%63.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Örgryte IS (Гости)

Прогноз 17.44%5.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +17.75%
Преимущество +2.63%
Kelly +3.09%
Рост +0.548%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.44%17.28%17.55%18.72%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.435.256.7520.83%18.43%19.05%14.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 21.78%4.59справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.175%
Преимущество +0.038%
Kelly +0.049%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.59%21.82%21.76%23.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.704.174.204.6027.03%23.98%23.81%21.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: AIK (Хозяева): 60.78%; Örgryte IS (Гости): 17.44%; Ничья: 21.78%. Для исхода «Örgryte IS (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.73. 14 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +17.75%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.89%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.44%EV +17.75%E +2.63%K +3.09%G +0.548%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.67%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-02 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV +9.02%E +1.44%K +1.72%G +0.155%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 14:10
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.94%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.74%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:00
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:09
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.85%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.11%EV +6.41%E +1.05%K +1.26%G +0.081%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.48%EV -11.87%E -8.19%K -26.38%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.45%EV -12.48%E -8.67%K -28.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +1.17%E +0.202%K +0.245%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-02 14:09
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.47%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.41%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.35%EV -2.31%E -0.413%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -19.42%E -5.25%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-02 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -14.91%E -10.65%K -37.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -4.06%E -0.738%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-02 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.64%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.59%EV -5.28%E -0.972%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%EV +0.175%E +0.038%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.32%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -5.80%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.99%EV -7.37%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.18%EV -1.79%E -0.396%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 14:25
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.79%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.01%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.21%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -7.55%E -1.42%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 14:20
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.55%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -5.27%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 14:07
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 13:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:05
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.22%E -5.45%K -16.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 14:20
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:08
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -8.42%E -1.60%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.71%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 14:20
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.63%EV -5.18%E -3.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.12%EV -8.94%E -1.71%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.25%EV -3.09%E -0.695%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.88%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -2.00%E -0.445%K -0.572%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.79%E -3.74%K -10.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -9.29%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -4.18%E -0.950%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.56%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.69%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.74%EV -9.62%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.88%EV -10.05%E -6.79%K -20.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -11.04%E -2.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 14:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.46%EV -4.58%E -2.92%K -8.03%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.72%EV -11.56%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.82%EV -0.696%E -0.153%K -0.196%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:20
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 14:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.62%E -5.01%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.89%E -3.22%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -10.65%E -7.25%K -22.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.78%E -2.56%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.83%E -5.89%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -14.53%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.34%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:24
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.01%E -4.58%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -16.27%E -3.39%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -15.07%E -3.86%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-02 14:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.94%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.09%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.46%1.3%2026-08-02 14:20