Language:English
AIK v Malmo FF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AIK (Local)
Prediction 38.39%2.60fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -2.10%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.78%38.42%38.39%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.85%41.67%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Malmo FF (Visit)
Prediction 33.50%2.98fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.11%33.51%33.45%35.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.732.752.8241.67%36.68%36.36%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.34%28.07%28.16%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.243.253.4134.72%30.87%30.77%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 38.39%; Malmo FF (Visit): 33.50%; Draw: 28.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.41, with an expected value of -4.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.18%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.47%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.68%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -7.53%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 22:37 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.20%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 22:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:02 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 22:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 17:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 21:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 23:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -11.89%E -4.52%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-20 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.05%E -6.62%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-21 07:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.24%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.05%EV -19.59%E -8.16%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-20 20:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.27% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 33.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39% | 13.6% | 2026-04-20 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |