La escuela de los momiosAIK v Malmo FF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AIK (Local)
Predicción 38.39%2.60momio equitativo
EV -5.18%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%38.42%38.39%39.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.85%41.67%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Malmo FF (Visitante)
Predicción 33.50%2.98momio equitativo
EV -5.52%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.11%33.51%33.45%35.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.732.752.8241.67%36.68%36.36%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.11%3.56momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.34%28.07%28.16%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.4134.72%30.87%30.77%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.18%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 00:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.47%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.68%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Bovada | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -7.53%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 22:37 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 07:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.20%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-20 22:13 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:02 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 17:15 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 07:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 17:01 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 22:15 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-23 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 07:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 07:04 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 21:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 21:15 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-23 23:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -11.89%E -4.52%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-20 10:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-20 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.05%E -6.62%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-21 07:18 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.24%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.05%EV -19.59%E -8.16%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-04-20 20:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.27% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 33.34% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39% | 13.6% | 2026-04-20 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81% | 163.8% | 2026-04-22 15:10 |