La scuola delle quote

AIK v Malmo FF

Inizio: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AIK (Casa)

Previsione 38.39%2.60quota equa
EV -5.18%
Vantaggio -2.10%
Kelly -3.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.78%38.42%38.39%39.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.85%41.67%40.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Malmo FF (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.50%2.98quota equa
EV -5.52%
Vantaggio -1.96%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.11%33.51%33.45%35.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.732.752.8241.67%36.68%36.36%35.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.11%3.56quota equa
EV -4.15%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.34%28.07%28.16%29.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.243.253.4134.72%30.87%30.77%29.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.18%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 00:10
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.47%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.68%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:50
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -7.53%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:37
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:04
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:15
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:15
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.20%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 22:13
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 21:14
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:49
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:49
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:00
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:04
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:04
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:19
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:02
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:20
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 22:15
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 20:45
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 10:35
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 22:14
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 17:01
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 22:15
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:24
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 07:05
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 07:04
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 21:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 21:15
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 17:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 23:49
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -11.89%E -4.52%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 10:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-20 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.05%E -6.62%K -10.13%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 19:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 17:19
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-21 07:18
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 06:50
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.24%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.05%EV -19.59%E -8.16%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-20 20:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 38.27%2.64I 37.88%NM 33.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%13.6%2026-04-20 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10