L’École des cotes

AIK v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AIK (Local)

Prévision 38.39%2.60cote équitable
EV -5.18%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.78%38.42%38.39%39.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.402.4745.45%41.85%41.67%40.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.50%2.98cote équitable
EV -5.52%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.11%33.51%33.45%35.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.732.752.8241.67%36.68%36.36%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.11%3.56cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.34%28.07%28.16%29.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.243.253.4134.72%30.87%30.77%29.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.18%E -2.10%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.09%EV -5.56%E -1.65%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 00:10
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 38.37%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -6.86%E -2.47%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.68%EV -4.15%E -1.22%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:50
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.24%EV -5.56%E -2.26%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -7.53%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:37
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:04
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:00
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:15
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 07:15
1xBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.07%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -7.20%E -2.60%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:50
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-20 22:13
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.94%E -2.43%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 21:14
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:49
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -6.33%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 21:49
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:00
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:04
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:04
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.23%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.18%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 07:00
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:19
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -7.10%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -5.52%E -1.96%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:02
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.44%E -1.30%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 17:15
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.19%E -2.21%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 17:20
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 22:15
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 20:45
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 10:35
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 07:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 22:14
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 17:01
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 22:15
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -7.25%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 18:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:24
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.87%E -2.86%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 17:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.86%E -3.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 07:05
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 07:04
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.63%E -3.63%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 21:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 21:15
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.85%EV -9.02%E -3.80%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.93%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 21:15
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -9.54%E -3.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.06%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 17:20
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.36%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.30%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -5.84%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 23:49
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -11.89%E -4.52%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 10:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -15.68%E -5.23%K -7.84%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-20 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.24%E -6.50%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -19.05%E -6.62%K -10.13%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 19:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -8.65%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 17:19
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-21 07:18
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.13%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.11%EV -12.89%E -4.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.87%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 06:50
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.24%EV -15.54%E -7.06%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.05%EV -19.59%E -8.16%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.71%EV -11.46%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-20 20:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 38.27%2.64I 37.88%NM 33.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%13.6%2026-04-20 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.20I 83.33%NM 31.60%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.81%163.8%2026-04-22 15:10