Language:English
AIK v GAIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AIK (Local)
Prediction 31.89%3.14fair odd
EV +7.80%
Edge +2.31%
Kelly +3.28%
Growth +0.256%
assuming max odds 3.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%32.06%31.83%34.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.852.853.3840.00%35.10%35.09%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GAIS (Visit)
Prediction 40.80%2.45fair odd
EV +4.04%
Edge +1.59%
Kelly +2.61%
Growth +0.106%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.90%40.69%40.79%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.272.5546.51%43.54%43.96%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.30%3.66fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.473%
Kelly -0.655%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.18%27.25%27.38%29.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.353.6032.26%29.79%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 31.89%; GAIS (Visit): 40.80%; Draw: 27.30%. For AIK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV +7.80%E +2.31%K +3.28%G +0.256% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.19%EV -10.99%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -1.77%E -0.574%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 12:50 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.72%E -0.893%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -4.52%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.25%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:29 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 12:44 |
| GTbets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.51%EV +0.781%E +0.316%K +0.531%G +0.004% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -10.17%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.45%EV -8.47%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.03%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.52%EV -10.44%E -3.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -2.89%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -16.44%E -6.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -20.27%E -8.11%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |