The School of Odds

AIK v GAIS

2026-07-18 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

AIK (Local)

Prediction 37.37%2.68fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.46%37.33%37.28%38.77%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.482.6344%41%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

GAIS (Visit)

Prediction 35.27%2.84fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.76%35.33%35.08%36.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.602.7543%39%38%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.36%3.65fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.578%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%27.34%27.64%28.72%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.353.6033%30%30%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.22%EV -1.71%E -0.650%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.59%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -1.50%E -0.417%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 13:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.22%EV -1.71%E -0.650%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.59%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -1.50%E -0.417%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 13:04
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.22%EV -1.71%E -0.650%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.59%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.19%EV -1.50%E -0.417%K -0.578%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-11 13:04
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.46%EV -4.33%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.49%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 14:14
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.46%EV -4.33%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.83%EV -5.49%E -2.05%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 14:14
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.84%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -7.52%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 14:24
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 13:09
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.25%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.25%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.97%E -2.05%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 13:05
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -6.54%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.71%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 14:09
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -9.01%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.50%E -0.417%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 19:24
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -9.01%E -3.49%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.50%E -0.417%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 19:24
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 13:05
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 13:04
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 13:04
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.12%EV -7.32%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.34%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 13:04
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.44%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -1.50%E -0.417%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 14:14
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -9.18%E -3.78%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:04
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -9.18%E -3.78%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.31%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -7.25%E -2.76%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -1.50%E -0.417%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 15:04
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.31%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 14:15
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -10.31%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.61%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 14:15
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.31%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-11 14:14
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.31%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 13:04
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.31%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 13:04
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.83%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -4.24%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 14:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%EV -12.17%E -5.18%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.61%EV -13.60%E -5.55%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.26%EV -12.45%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-11 13:24
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.60%EV -12.92%E -5.55%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.76%EV -11.13%E -4.42%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.64%EV -13.27%E -4.19%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-11 13:09
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 36.99%EV -13.29%E -5.73%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.32%EV -14.30%E -5.89%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -15.18%E -4.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-11 13:04
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -14.04%E -6.11%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -13.60%E -5.55%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -11.08%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-11 14:19
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.10%EV -15.91%E -7.07%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.52%EV -17.12%E -7.29%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.37%EV -16.55%E -5.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%19.8%2026-07-11 13:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%13.6%2026-07-11 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-11 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-11 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-11 14:20