A Escola das OddsPortuguês
AIK v GAIS
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
AIK (Local)
Previsão 31.89%3.14odd justa
EV +7.80%
Vantagem +2.31%
Kelly +3.28%
Crescimento +0.256%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.38
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.15%32.06%31.83%34.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.852.853.3840.00%35.10%35.09%29.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
GAIS (Visitante)
Previsão 40.80%2.45odd justa
EV +4.04%
Vantagem +1.59%
Kelly +2.61%
Crescimento +0.106%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.90%40.69%40.79%42.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.302.272.5546.51%43.54%43.96%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 27.30%3.66odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.473%
Kelly -0.655%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.18%27.25%27.38%29.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.363.353.6032.26%29.79%29.85%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV +7.80%E +2.31%K +3.28%G +0.256% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.19%EV -10.99%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -1.77%E -0.574%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 12:50 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.72%E -0.893%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -4.52%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.25%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:29 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 12:44 |
| GTbets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.51%EV +0.781%E +0.316%K +0.531%G +0.004% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -10.17%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.45%EV -8.47%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.03%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.52%EV -10.44%E -3.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -2.89%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -16.44%E -6.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -20.27%E -8.11%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |