L’École des cotesAIK v GAIS
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
AIK (Local)
Prévision 31.89%3.14cote équitable
EV +7.80%
Avantage +2.31%
Kelly +3.28%
Croissance +0.256%
avec la cote maximale 3.38
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.15%32.06%31.83%34.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.852.853.3840.00%35.10%35.09%29.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
GAIS (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.80%2.45cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +2.61%
Croissance +0.106%
avec la cote maximale 2.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.90%40.69%40.79%42.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.302.272.5546.51%43.54%43.96%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.30%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.473%
Kelly -0.655%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.18%27.25%27.38%29.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.363.353.6032.26%29.79%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV +7.80%E +2.31%K +3.28%G +0.256% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.19%EV -10.99%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -1.77%E -0.574%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 12:50 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.72%E -0.893%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -4.52%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.25%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:29 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 12:44 |
| GTbets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.51%EV +0.781%E +0.316%K +0.531%G +0.004% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -10.17%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.45%EV -8.47%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.03%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.52%EV -10.44%E -3.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -2.89%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -16.44%E -6.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -20.27%E -8.11%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |