La escuela de los momiosAIK v GAIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
AIK (Local)
Predicción 31.89%3.14momio equitativo
EV +7.80%
Ventaja +2.31%
Kelly +3.28%
Crecimiento +0.256%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.15%32.06%31.83%34.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.852.853.3840.00%35.10%35.09%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
GAIS (Visitante)
Predicción 40.80%2.45momio equitativo
EV +4.04%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +2.61%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.90%40.69%40.79%42.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.272.5546.51%43.54%43.96%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.30%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.473%
Kelly -0.655%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.18%27.25%27.38%29.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.363.353.6032.26%29.79%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV +7.80%E +2.31%K +3.28%G +0.256% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -9.01%E -4.04%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.19%EV -10.99%E -3.37%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -1.77%E -0.574%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.53%EV -5.75%E -2.49%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -4.16%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-18 12:50 |
| Everygame | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.72%E -0.893%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.15%EV -4.52%E -1.93%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.21%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.25%EV -7.38%E -3.25%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-18 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:29 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.97%E -3.06%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.70%E -0.473%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 12:44 |
| GTbets | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.58%EV -6.87%E -2.35%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.51%EV +0.781%E +0.316%K +0.531%G +0.004% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.91%EV -10.17%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.45%EV -8.47%E -2.95%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.03%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.52%EV -10.44%E -3.18%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV +4.04%E +1.59%K +2.61%G +0.106% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -3.07%E -0.865%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.16%E -2.68%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -10.24%E -4.65%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-18 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.80%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -0.035%E -0.014%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.55%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -2.08%E -0.865%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.31%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -2.89%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.00%EV -16.12%E -6.13%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.05%EV -4.12%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -16.44%E -6.27%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.28%E -5.71%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -9.90%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-07-18 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -17.08%E -6.57%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.11%EV -4.93%E -2.12%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -12.63%E -3.95%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -20.27%E -8.11%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -8.20%E -3.64%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -15.36%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-07-18 12:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-07-18 12:55 |