Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 2.90
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 36.55%; St Johnstone (Visit): 35.14%; Draw: 28.31%. For St Johnstone (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV +1.91%E +0.658%K +1.00%G +0.019% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV +1.91%E +0.658%K +1.00%G +0.019% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -16.67%E -7.31%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV +1.20%E +0.418%K +0.640%G +0.008% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 13:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.08%EV -3.01%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -15.20%E -6.55%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.43%E -2.51%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -1.32%E -0.487%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.66%EV -8.26%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.66%EV -8.26%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.916%E -0.262%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -14.11%E -6.00%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 13:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.83%EV -10.09%E -4.10%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.22%EV -13.38%E -5.64%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.32%EV -9.69%E -3.77%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86% | 0.4% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-08 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-08-08 14:00 |