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St Mirren v St Johnstone

2026-08-08 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Mirren (Local)

Prediction 41.46%2.41fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.99%41.53%41.59%43.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.252.3448.78%44.70%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Johnstone (Visit)

Prediction 30.80%3.25fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -0.653%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.60%30.79%30.75%31.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.003.2034.48%33.06%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.74%3.61fair odd
EV -0.145%
Edge -0.040%
Kelly -0.056%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.68%27.66%29.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.64%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: St Mirren (Local): 41.46%; St Johnstone (Visit): 30.80%; Draw: 27.74%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.60, with an expected value of -0.145%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 40.69%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.81%EV -4.82%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.50%EV -7.36%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 16:35
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 16:25
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.76%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 20:14
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -3.81%E -1.64%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 20:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.64%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 16:30
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -4.64%E -2.02%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 16:24
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.08%EV -5.47%E -2.40%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -7.91%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 16:40
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -6.30%E -2.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.36%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.91%E -2.38%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 16:35
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.54%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.87%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -0.145%E -0.040%K -0.056%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 16:35
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -0.145%E -0.040%K -0.056%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 16:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 16:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 16:29
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 16:29
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -9.14%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -4.31%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 16:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 16:24
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 16:24
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 16:24
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 16:24
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.98%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 20:15
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -1.44%E -0.449%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:20
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 15:20
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.31%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.78%E -3.99%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 20:10
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -10.86%E -5.05%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.52%E -1.46%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 15:20
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.51%EV -11.27%E -5.27%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.16%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 15:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -12.93%E -6.16%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.68%E -3.68%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -2.92%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 15:19
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -15.00%E -7.32%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -7.60%E -2.53%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.47%E -2.57%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-02 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.39%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%9.8%2026-08-02 16:35