Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Mirren v St Johnstone

Início: 2026-08-08 14:02 UTC

Final: St Mirren 1–0 St Johnstone

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Mirren (Local)

Previsão 36.55%2.74odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.487%
Kelly -0.774%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.61%36.77%36.53%39.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.282.502.512.7043.86%39.98%39.84%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Johnstone (Visitante)

Previsão 35.14%2.85odd justa
EV +1.91%
Vantagem +0.658%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.33%34.92%35.13%36.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.572.702.662.9038.91%37.09%37.59%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.31%3.53odd justa
EV -0.916%
Vantagem -0.262%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.32%28.34%29.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.263.253.5032.79%30.71%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Mirren (Local): 36.55%; St Johnstone (Visitante): 35.14%; Empate: 28.31%. Para St Johnstone (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.85. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.91%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV +1.91%E +0.658%K +1.00%G +0.019%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV +1.91%E +0.658%K +1.00%G +0.019%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -16.67%E -7.31%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV +1.20%E +0.418%K +0.640%G +0.008%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.08%EV -3.01%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -15.20%E -6.55%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.43%E -2.51%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:00
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -1.32%E -0.487%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 13:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Bovada🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.66%EV -8.26%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:58
BetUS🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.66%EV -8.26%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:59
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.916%E -0.262%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -14.11%E -6.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:59
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:59
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:59
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:58
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 36.83%EV -10.09%E -4.10%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.22%EV -13.38%E -5.64%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.32%EV -9.69%E -3.77%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-08-08 14:00