Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St Mirren v St Johnstone

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 14:02 UTC

Score final : St Mirren 1–0 St Johnstone

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St Mirren (Local)

Prévision 36.55%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.487%
Kelly -0.774%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.61%36.77%36.53%39.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.282.502.512.7043.86%39.98%39.84%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St Johnstone (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.14%2.85cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.658%
Kelly +1.00%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.33%34.92%35.13%36.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.572.702.662.9038.91%37.09%37.59%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.31%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.916%
Avantage -0.262%
Kelly -0.366%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.32%28.34%29.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.263.253.5032.79%30.71%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : St Mirren (Local) : 36.55% ; St Johnstone (Visiteur) : 35.14% ; Match nul : 28.31%. Pour St Johnstone (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.85. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.90, soit une espérance positive de +1.91%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV +1.91%E +0.658%K +1.00%G +0.019%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -11.18%E -4.60%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV +1.91%E +0.658%K +1.00%G +0.019%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.57%EV -16.67%E -7.31%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV +1.20%E +0.418%K +0.640%G +0.008%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.10%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:34
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:54
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -13.01%E -5.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV +0.150%E +0.053%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -10.82%E -3.44%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.08%EV -3.01%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.39%EV -3.46%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-08 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 13:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.46%EV -3.14%E -1.19%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.13%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -15.20%E -6.55%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.60%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.29%EV -3.36%E -1.22%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.66%E -4.48%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.43%E -2.51%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.42%EV -4.77%E -1.76%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:00
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -1.32%E -0.487%K -0.774%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -5.45%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 13:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:50
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:49
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -15.94%E -6.93%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -5.12%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:44
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -4.24%E -1.62%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -5.82%E -2.17%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 13:50
Bovada🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.66%EV -8.26%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:58
BetUS🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.66%EV -8.26%E -3.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:59
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -0.916%E -0.262%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 13:59
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -14.11%E -6.00%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -6.88%E -2.60%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -7.99%E -2.46%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -7.58%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:59
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:59
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:59
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.93%E -3.03%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:54
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.75%E -1.10%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 13:58
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -4.97%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:00
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -5.16%E -1.54%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 13:59
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.80%E -2.67%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 13:54
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.63%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.58%E -1.99%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 36.83%EV -10.09%E -4.10%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.85%EV -8.64%E -3.32%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.41%E -2.94%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 14:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.22%EV -13.38%E -5.64%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.32%EV -9.69%E -3.77%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -12.24%E -3.95%K -5.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.82%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.86%0.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-08-08 14:00