Language:English
St Mirren v Aberdeen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Mirren (Local)
Prediction 47.85%2.09fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.95%47.83%47.85%49.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.961.952.0655.56%51.02%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aberdeen (Visit)
Prediction 25.04%3.99fair odd
EV +0.655%
Edge +0.163%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%25.03%25.09%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.704.0229.41%27.26%27.03%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.662%
Kelly -0.917%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.18%27.14%27.06%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.17%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 47.85%; Aberdeen (Visit): 25.04%; Draw: 27.12%. For Aberdeen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.655%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.01%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV +0.655%E +0.163%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -0.096%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 13:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -9.09%E -4.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -10.05%E -5.35%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 13:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -8.14%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -3.97%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 13:43 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -9.57%E -5.06%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 13:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.38%E -0.662%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.77%EV -12.44%E -6.80%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -11.88%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.88%E -7.71%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -6.22%E -3.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |