La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
St Mirren v Aberdeen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
St Mirren (Local)
Predicción 47.85%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.95%47.83%47.85%49.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.961.952.0655.56%51.02%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aberdeen (Visitante)
Predicción 25.04%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.655%
Ventaja +0.163%
Kelly +0.217%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.63%25.03%25.09%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.673.704.0229.41%27.26%27.03%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.662%
Kelly -0.917%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.18%27.14%27.06%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.17%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.01%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV +0.655%E +0.163%K +0.217%G +0.001% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -0.096%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 13:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -9.09%E -4.79%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:44 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -10.05%E -5.35%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 13:28 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -8.14%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -3.97%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 13:43 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -9.57%E -5.06%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 13:51 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.38%E -0.662%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 13:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 13:09 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.77%EV -12.44%E -6.80%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -11.88%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.88%E -7.71%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -6.22%E -3.17%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76% | 1.5% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |