L’École des cotes

St Mirren v Aberdeen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

St Mirren (Local)

Prévision 47.85%2.09cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.95%47.83%47.85%49.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.961.952.0655.56%51.02%51.28%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aberdeen (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.04%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.655%
Avantage +0.163%
Kelly +0.217%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.63%25.03%25.09%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.704.0229.41%27.26%27.03%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.12%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -0.917%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.18%27.14%27.06%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.17%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.01%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV +0.655%E +0.163%K +0.217%G +0.001%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 13:49
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -0.096%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 13:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:08
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:39
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:39
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -9.09%E -4.79%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:44
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -10.05%E -5.35%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:28
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -8.14%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 13:09
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -3.97%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:43
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -9.57%E -5.06%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:51
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.38%E -0.662%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:20
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:19
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:10
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:20
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 13:10
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:49
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:50
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:49
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:09
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.77%EV -12.44%E -6.80%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -11.88%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 13:30
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.88%E -7.71%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-04 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 13:49
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 13:49
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -6.22%E -3.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74%0.1%2026-04-04 13:50
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-04 13:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-04 13:45