مدرسة الاحتمالات

St Mirren v Aberdeen

البداية: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

St Mirren (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.85%2.09السعر العادل
EV -1.44%
الأفضلية -0.698%
Kelly -1.36%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.95%47.83%47.85%49.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.961.952.0655.56%51.02%51.28%48.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aberdeen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.04%3.99السعر العادل
EV +0.655%
الأفضلية +0.163%
Kelly +0.217%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.63%25.03%25.09%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.673.704.0229.41%27.26%27.03%24.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.12%3.69السعر العادل
EV -2.38%
الأفضلية -0.662%
Kelly -0.917%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.18%27.14%27.06%28.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.433.453.6031.25%29.17%28.99%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.01%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV +0.655%E +0.163%K +0.217%G +0.001%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 13:49
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.18%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.03%EV -0.096%E -0.024%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.79%EV -2.93%E -0.818%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 13:30
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:08
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -2.35%E -0.603%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:39
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.64%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.64%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 13:39
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.11%EV -9.09%E -4.79%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:44
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -10.05%E -5.35%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:28
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.60%EV -8.14%E -4.24%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.43%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.97%EV -6.18%E -1.79%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 13:09
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.66%E -3.97%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:43
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:09
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -9.57%E -5.06%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 13:51
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:30
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.61%E -4.51%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 13:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.11%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 13:19
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.38%E -0.662%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:20
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:54
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:19
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:10
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.70%E -3.44%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:20
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.26%E -2.66%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -10.53%E -5.63%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 13:10
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.11%EV -1.44%E -0.698%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:49
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:50
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -2.39%E -1.17%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.10%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:49
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:40
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.68%EV -7.18%E -3.70%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.37%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.52%E -3.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 13:09
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -3.35%E -1.66%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.77%EV -12.44%E -6.80%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.90%EV -11.88%E -3.65%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 13:30
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.88%E -7.71%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -13.62%E -3.95%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.23%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-04 13:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.31%E -2.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.81%E -2.30%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 13:49
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -5.74%E -2.92%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 13:49
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -6.22%E -3.17%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.87%E -4.37%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.16%E -2.74%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74%0.1%2026-04-04 13:50
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-04 13:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-04 13:45