Language:English
Motherwell v Hibernian
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motherwell (Local)
Prediction 47.95%2.09fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.04%47.98%47.87%49.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.921.922.0258.14%52.06%51.95%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hibernian (Visit)
Prediction 24.82%4.03fair odd
EV -0.711%
Edge -0.178%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.87%24.80%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.753.754.0028.99%26.66%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -0.624%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.235%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.86%27.15%27.33%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motherwell (Local): 47.95%; Hibernian (Visit): 24.82%; Draw: 27.23%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.624%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.87%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.42%EV -1.70%E -0.430%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.71%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.00%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.74%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.40%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 10:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -14.36%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%EV -14.17%E -7.91%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.64%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.43%EV -17.52%E -10.19%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.77%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |