La scuola delle quote

Motherwell v Hibernian

Inizio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Motherwell (Casa)

Previsione 47.95%2.09quota equa
EV -3.14%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -3.08%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.04%47.98%47.87%49.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.721.921.922.0258.14%52.06%51.95%49.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hibernian (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.82%4.03quota equa
EV -0.711%
Vantaggio -0.178%
Kelly -0.237%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.36%24.87%24.80%26.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.753.754.0028.99%26.66%26.67%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.23%3.67quota equa
EV -0.624%
Vantaggio -0.171%
Kelly -0.235%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.86%27.15%27.33%27.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.87%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.42%EV -1.70%E -0.430%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.71%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-21 14:45
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:44
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.00%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.74%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 14:49
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:33
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:44
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-21 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 08:25
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:54
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:55
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:44
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-21 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 08:25
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 08:25
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:42
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 14:54
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.40%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 12:19
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:24
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:29
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:24
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:24
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:24
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:25
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:19
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 08:50
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:00
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:24
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 14:05
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:24
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:24
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:25
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:25
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:24
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 10:23
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-21 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 14:29
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:24
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:25
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -14.36%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-21 14:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%EV -14.17%E -7.91%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.64%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-21 14:34
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.43%EV -17.52%E -10.19%K -24.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.77%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-21 14:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-21 14:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-03-21 14:50