Idioma:Español
Motherwell v Hibernian
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motherwell (Local)
Predicción 47.95%2.09momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.04%47.98%47.87%49.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.921.922.0258.14%52.06%51.95%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hibernian (Visitante)
Predicción 24.82%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.711%
Ventaja -0.178%
Kelly -0.237%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.87%24.80%26.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.753.754.0028.99%26.66%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -0.624%
Ventaja -0.171%
Kelly -0.235%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.86%27.15%27.33%27.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Motherwell (Local): 47.95%; Hibernian (Visitante): 24.82%; Empate: 27.23%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.67. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.65, con un valor esperado de -0.624%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.87%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.42%EV -1.70%E -0.430%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.71%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.00%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.74%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.40%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 08:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 10:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -14.36%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%EV -14.17%E -7.91%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.64%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.43%EV -17.52%E -10.19%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.77%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |