L’École des cotesMotherwell v Hibernian
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Motherwell (Local)
Prévision 47.95%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -3.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.04%47.98%47.87%49.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.921.922.0258.14%52.06%51.95%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hibernian (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.82%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.711%
Avantage -0.178%
Kelly -0.237%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%24.87%24.80%26.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.753.754.0028.99%26.66%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.23%3.67cote équitable
EV -0.624%
Avantage -0.171%
Kelly -0.235%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%27.15%27.33%27.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.453.453.6533.33%29.00%28.99%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.87%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.42%EV -1.70%E -0.430%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.71%EV -4.98%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.00%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.74%EV -2.26%E -0.629%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:33 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-21 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 10:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.79%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.97%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.49%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Neds | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.08%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:25 |
| Bovada | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:42 |
| BetUS | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.50%EV -6.97%E -3.60%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -7.45%E -3.86%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.40%E -2.57%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 12:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -7.93%E -4.13%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -0.624%E -0.171%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.43%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.41%E -4.40%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 08:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -0.711%E -0.178%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -1.99%E -0.551%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.06%EV -9.37%E -4.96%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.24%EV -9.85%E -5.24%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.35%E -0.943%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.19%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.43%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 10:23 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -10.33%E -5.52%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-21 08:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -11.77%E -6.40%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -8.16%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -4.71%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -13.69%E -7.60%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -14.36%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -12.88%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%EV -14.17%E -7.91%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.64%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -10.15%E -3.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.43%EV -17.52%E -10.19%K -24.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.80%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.77%EV -18.32%E -6.11%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-21 14:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.72% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61% | 0.6% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |