La scuola delle quote

Motherwell v Hearts

Inizio: 2026-05-09 19:02 UTC

Finale: Motherwell 1–1 Hearts

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Motherwell (Casa)

Previsione 32.22%3.10quota equa
EV -0.129%
Vantaggio -0.042%
Kelly -0.061%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.13%32.20%32.31%35.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.34%35.09%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hearts (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.32%2.54quota equa
EV +2.23%
Vantaggio +0.857%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.41%39.32%39.27%41.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.402.402.6045.45%41.68%41.67%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.46%3.51quota equa
EV +2.47%
Vantaggio +0.687%
Kelly +0.951%
Crescita +0.024%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.01%28.48%28.42%30.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.323.353.6032.79%30.11%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024%2.6%2026-05-09 19:00
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024%2.6%2026-05-09 19:00
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV +0.263%E +0.103%K +0.170%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 18:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:59
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 19:00
Pinnacle3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -1.74%E -0.570%K -0.849%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.86%EV -2.10%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 18:59
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:59
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 19:00
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 19:00
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:47
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 19:00
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:59
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 18:59
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 19:00
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 19:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 18:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 19:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 18:59
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -7.54%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:59
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 18:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 18:59
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:59
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.96%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:59
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 19:00
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -5.28%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:59
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 18:59
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 18:58
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:59
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 19:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:59
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:59
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 18:59
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 19:00
1xBet3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -0.773%E -0.251%K -0.372%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.05%EV -7.99%E -3.42%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -1.51%E -0.437%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 18:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:59
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 18:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 18:59
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 19:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 18:59
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-09 18:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-05-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-05-09 19:00
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-09 19:00
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40%5.0%2026-05-09 19:00