La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Motherwell v Hearts
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motherwell (Local)
Predicción 32.22%3.10momio equitativo
EV -0.129%
Ventaja -0.042%
Kelly -0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.13%32.20%32.31%35.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.34%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hearts (Visitante)
Predicción 39.32%2.54momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.857%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.41%39.32%39.27%41.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.6045.45%41.68%41.67%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.46%3.51momio equitativo
EV +2.47%
Ventaja +0.687%
Kelly +0.951%
Crecimiento +0.024%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.01%28.48%28.42%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.323.353.6032.79%30.11%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV +0.263%E +0.103%K +0.170%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -1.74%E -0.570%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.86%EV -2.10%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 18:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -7.54%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.96%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -5.28%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -0.773%E -0.251%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.05%EV -7.99%E -3.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -1.51%E -0.437%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |