L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Motherwell v Hearts
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Motherwell (Local)
Prévision 32.22%3.10cote équitable
EV -0.129%
Avantage -0.042%
Kelly -0.061%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.13%32.20%32.31%35.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.34%35.09%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Hearts (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.32%2.54cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.857%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.031%
avec la cote maximale 2.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.41%39.32%39.27%41.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.6045.45%41.68%41.67%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.46%3.51cote équitable
EV +2.47%
Avantage +0.687%
Kelly +0.951%
Croissance +0.024%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.01%28.48%28.42%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.323.353.6032.79%30.11%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV +0.263%E +0.103%K +0.170%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -1.74%E -0.570%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.86%EV -2.10%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 18:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -7.54%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.96%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -5.28%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -0.773%E -0.251%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.05%EV -7.99%E -3.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -1.51%E -0.437%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |