مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Motherwell v Hearts
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Motherwell (المضيف)
التنبؤ 32.22%3.10السعر العادل
EV -0.129%
الأفضلية -0.042%
Kelly -0.061%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.13%32.20%32.31%35.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.602.832.853.1038.46%35.34%35.09%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Hearts (الضيف)
التنبؤ 39.32%2.54السعر العادل
EV +2.23%
الأفضلية +0.857%
Kelly +1.39%
النمو +0.031%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.41%39.32%39.27%41.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.402.402.6045.45%41.68%41.67%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 28.46%3.51السعر العادل
EV +2.47%
الأفضلية +0.687%
Kelly +0.951%
النمو +0.024%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.01%28.48%28.42%30.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.053.323.353.6032.79%30.11%29.85%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.44%EV -11.40%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.49%EV +2.23%E +0.857%K +1.39%G +0.031% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.07%EV +2.47%E +0.687%K +0.951%G +0.024% | 2.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV +0.263%E +0.103%K +0.170%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -1.70%E -0.681%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.73%EV -1.74%E -0.570%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.86%EV -2.10%E -0.842%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.41%EV -6.35%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -15.27%E -5.81%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -2.49%E -1.00%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -1.80%E -0.521%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -14.63%E -5.52%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 18:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -3.67%E -1.50%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.14%EV -16.24%E -6.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -4.46%E -1.83%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -4.85%E -2.00%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.374%E -0.107%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -7.54%E -2.63%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -4.96%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -10.34%E -3.28%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -8.18%E -2.87%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -5.63%E -2.35%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.76%EV -5.28%E -1.80%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.07%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetUS | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.03%E -2.52%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -11.19%E -3.59%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.22%E -2.51%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 18:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.91%E -2.79%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.42%E -2.70%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.22%E -0.947%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.57%E -2.27%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -7.60%E -3.23%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.19%EV -0.773%E -0.251%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.05%EV -7.99%E -3.42%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.76%EV -1.51%E -0.437%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.07%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.35%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.57%E -4.16%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -11.76%E -3.79%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -0.129%E -0.042%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -4.64%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.53%E -5.13%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.79%E -3.50%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.49%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -13.02%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -13.50%E -6.14%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -13.18%E -4.32%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-09 18:59 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.03% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.58% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.73% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 19:00 |