Language:English
Motherwell v Falkirk F.C.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Motherwell (Local)
Prediction 48.66%2.06fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.92%48.63%48.45%51.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.902.0156.18%52.85%52.63%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Falkirk F.C. (Visit)
Prediction 24.27%4.12fair odd
EV +4.62%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.064%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.43%24.31%24.55%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.893.954.3128.99%25.73%25.32%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.07%3.69fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.555%
Kelly -0.767%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.94%27.06%27.00%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.503.6231.25%28.81%28.57%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Motherwell (Local): 48.66%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 24.27%; Draw: 27.07%. For Falkirk F.C. (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.34%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.43%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:48 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -11.93%E -6.59%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:51 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.51%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.72%EV -2.20%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -9.70%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.01%E -0.555%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:53 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -4.15%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -16.26%E -4.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.51% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.28% | -0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |