مدرسة الاحتمالات

Motherwell v Falkirk F.C.

البداية: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Motherwell (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.66%2.06السعر العادل
EV -2.20%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -2.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.01

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.92%48.63%48.45%51.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.781.891.902.0156.18%52.85%52.63%49.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Falkirk F.C. (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.27%4.12السعر العادل
EV +4.62%
الأفضلية +1.07%
Kelly +1.40%
النمو +0.064%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.43%24.31%24.55%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.893.954.3128.99%25.73%25.32%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.07%3.69السعر العادل
EV -2.01%
الأفضلية -0.555%
Kelly -0.767%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.94%27.06%27.00%28.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.473.503.6231.25%28.81%28.57%27.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.34%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.43%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 13:49
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 13:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 13:54
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:48
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:30
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -11.93%E -6.59%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Sky Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:45
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:30
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:30
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:28
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:51
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.51%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:20
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:53
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:19
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:20
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 13:49
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:19
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.72%EV -2.20%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -9.70%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.01%E -0.555%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 13:49
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 13:49
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:54
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:53
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 13:49
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -4.15%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -16.26%E -4.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-04 13:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.51%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.28%-0.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:55
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:55