L’École des cotes

Motherwell v Falkirk F.C.

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Motherwell (Local)

Prévision 48.66%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.92%48.63%48.45%51.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.891.902.0156.18%52.85%52.63%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV +4.62%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.40%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 4.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%24.31%24.55%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.893.954.3128.99%25.73%25.32%23.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.555%
Kelly -0.767%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.94%27.06%27.00%28.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.503.6231.25%28.81%28.57%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.34%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.43%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 13:49
LowVig.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 13:54
BetOnline.ag1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 13:54
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:48
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:30
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:30
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:49
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 13:30
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -11.93%E -6.59%K -14.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:30
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 13:39
Sky Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:45
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 13:49
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:30
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:30
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 13:30
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:28
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 13:51
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.51%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:20
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 13:20
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:53
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 13:19
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:20
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 13:49
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:19
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.72%EV -2.20%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -9.70%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.01%E -0.555%K -0.767%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 13:55
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 13:49
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 13:49
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 13:54
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 13:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 13:53
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 13:30
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 13:49
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -4.15%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 13:54
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -16.26%E -4.71%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-04 13:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 51.51%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.28%-0.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:55
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-04-04 13:55