La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Motherwell v Falkirk F.C.
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Motherwell (Local)
Predicción 48.66%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.92%48.63%48.45%51.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.891.902.0156.18%52.85%52.63%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)
Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV +4.62%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.064%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.43%24.31%24.55%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.893.954.3128.99%25.73%25.32%23.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.555%
Kelly -0.767%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.94%27.06%27.00%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.503.6231.25%28.81%28.57%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.34%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.43%EV +4.62%E +1.07%K +1.40%G +0.064% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:48 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV +1.95%E +0.464%K +0.609%G +0.012% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.04%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.11%EV -11.44%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.25%EV -11.93%E -6.59%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -3.90%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -0.479%E -0.117%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
| Sky Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.00%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -2.91%E -0.727%K -0.969%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -9.98%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 13:28 |
| Bovada | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.88%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -4.12%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.85%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 13:51 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.05%EV -5.82%E -1.50%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.51%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.55%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.76%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 13:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -7.55%E -3.97%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.06%E -3.70%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.72%EV -2.20%E -1.09%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.78%EV -9.70%E -2.61%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -2.01%E -0.555%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.61%E -1.92%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -8.52%E -4.53%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -10.19%E -2.75%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.55%E -0.708%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 13:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.96%E -2.34%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 13:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.12%E -2.62%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -13.39%E -7.52%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -12.62%E -3.50%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -9.32%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 13:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -4.15%E -2.10%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.26%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 13:30 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -15.04%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.67%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -12.42%E -6.90%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -16.26%E -4.71%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -13.38%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.51% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.21% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.28% | -0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 13:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 13:55 |