Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 5.60
assuming max odds 4.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kilmarnock (Local): 60.20%; Dundee FC (Visit): 17.67%; Draw: 22.13%. For Dundee FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.60, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.86%EV -1.87%E -1.15%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.78%EV -9.71%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.36%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -3.08%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.28%EV -6.88%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 18:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-12 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.05%E -0.188%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.70%E -0.679%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -16.07%E -3.38%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -10.30%E -6.91%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.16%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.57%EV -12.71%E -8.76%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.00%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.80%E -3.84%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |