L’École des cotes

Kilmarnock v Dundee FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 18:45 UTC

Score final : Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Prévision 60.20%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.60%60.10%60.14%61.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.561.561.6368.97%64.10%64.10%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.67%5.66cote équitable
EV -1.05%
Avantage -0.188%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.68%17.73%17.72%19.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.185.205.6021.05%19.29%19.23%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.13%4.52cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.597%
Kelly -0.773%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.03%22.17%22.14%23.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.164.204.4025.97%24.07%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.86%EV -1.87%E -1.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.78%EV -9.71%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.36%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 18:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:25
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -3.08%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.28%EV -6.88%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 18:31
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:36
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:35
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:26
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 18:36
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:36
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:36
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:36
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:30
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 18:31
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:26
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:25
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.05%E -0.188%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:30
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.70%E -0.679%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 18:36
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:31
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:35
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:40
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -16.07%E -3.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -10.30%E -6.91%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.16%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.57%EV -12.71%E -8.76%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.00%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.80%E -3.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-12 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:30
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-12 18:35