La escuela de los momios

Kilmarnock v Dundee FC

Inicio: 2026-05-12 18:45 UTC

Final: Kilmarnock 3–1 Dundee FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kilmarnock (Local)

Predicción 60.20%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.60%60.10%60.14%61.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.561.561.6368.97%64.10%64.10%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee FC (Visitante)

Predicción 17.67%5.66momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.188%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.68%17.73%17.72%19.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.185.205.6021.05%19.29%19.23%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.13%4.52momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.597%
Kelly -0.773%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.03%22.17%22.14%23.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.164.204.4025.97%24.07%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.86%EV -1.87%E -1.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.78%EV -9.71%E -1.90%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.36%EV -5.06%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 18:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:25
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -2.47%E -1.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:25
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.83%EV -3.08%E -1.91%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.28%EV -6.88%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 18:31
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.90%EV -3.68%E -2.30%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.43%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:35
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -4.88%E -3.09%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-12 18:30
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-12 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:36
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:35
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:26
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.81%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 18:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.48%E -3.49%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 18:36
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:36
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:36
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.09%E -3.90%K -10.87%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -9.89%E -1.94%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 18:25
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 18:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:36
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 18:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:36
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:34
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.27%E -2.26%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:30
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.48%E -2.87%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-12 18:31
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:25
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:26
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -6.69%E -4.32%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.59%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-12 18:25
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -1.05%E -0.188%K -0.229%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 18:30
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.95%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -3.70%E -0.679%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.95%E -1.40%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-12 18:36
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:30
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.82%E -0.512%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 18:31
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -4.18%E -0.965%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-12 18:35
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -2.63%E -0.597%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-12 18:30
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.24%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:40
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.29%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.74%EV -8.12%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:40
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -7.89%E -5.16%K -14.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -16.07%E -3.38%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.05%E -1.68%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-12 18:30
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.49%E -5.59%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.22%EV -4.59%E -0.849%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.62%EV -4.84%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.35%EV -10.30%E -6.91%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.65%E -2.33%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.67%EV -8.16%E -1.97%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.57%EV -12.71%E -8.76%K -28.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.00%EV -15.19%E -3.16%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -14.80%E -3.84%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-12 18:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%0.6%2026-05-12 18:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:36
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:30
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.50%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-12 18:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-05-12 18:35